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20121029
20121029
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of the political universe is ohio. president obama and governor romney are locked in a tight race to reach the magic number of 270 votes and ohio could tip the scames one way or the other. that's why the candidates are putting time and effort in the buck eye state . joining me senior political analyst for the washington examiner michael moran. >> good to be with you. >> this election may come down to ohio. what does romney have to do to win the state. >> he has to win over a lot of afluent voters necessary suburbian areas that haven't voted republican in the last couple of presidential election. areas with which republicans used to win but trended democratic over the last 20 years. on the cultural issues and he has to win them over economic and stewardship and foreign policy get the white nonblue collar. obama campaign baraged ohio with ads. biggest anti-romney ads he's outsourced job to china and he fired me and my wife got cancer and all of that sort of thing. they have seen it in ohio and white noncollege voters in ohio are considerably not likely to support romney than in other states.
voters in ohio was president obama. he had to produce a photoid to vote. help me to understand recognizable person in the entire united states of america has to show his photoid why is it too much to ask that for the rest of that. most of them gave up the licenses and passport. if chicago requires voters id. those who say we ain't got voters fraud going on around here, they must have missed the powerful and disturbing reports filed by eric shawn who exposed voters fraud in multiple states. eric reportod hudson hallum a sitting democrat who pled guilty vodka voting scheme ited his father and city council and even a police officer. the u.s. attorney appointed by barak obama and eric holder got the guilty pleas and the resignation. it is just people don't usually get caught. in virginia this we're. patrick moran was forced to resign from his father's campaign after an undercover video showing young moran aiding and abetting fraud and get ballots and using forged documentings. i joked that you ought fovote early and often. but i never meant for people to take that literally. a frau
-- if obama carries ohio, he will carry wisconsin and it will be a difficult reached for romney. >> a virginia? >> virginia will still probably end up in obama's camp. >> i just look at the polls when we started the program. romney is up by one point or two. >> you can pick your polling and in virginia, because another shows that obama is up in virginia. but he has been running strong in virginia, and with the heavy onslaught by romney, it still shows the northern virginia area, which will be very important, but much supports barack obama. >> new hampshire could be in play. >> new hampshire traditionally was a republican state did it only became a presidentially democratic relatively recently. >> when bartlet came along. "west wing." >> unless he gets a surge that covers most of the states, it if he loses ohio and iowa or ohio and wisconsin, he has to run the table in everyone. >> you get confused unless you are i just keep trying to figure out the permutations. everybody agrees that the path is clear and simpler for obama and romney. it is ccbc the combination -- >> a lot of talk about potent
and your ohio poll has obama up five points. the gender gap is big in ohio. obama up in 19 points among women. and another fascinating thing obama gets 43% of the wheat vote, higher than in most states. is it all about the auto bailout, smart move politically? >> it is all about the auto bailout. the chevy cruise which is assembled in ohio has ohio parts. down to the seat covers. and everybody knows that the alternative to the auto bailout would have been 13%, 14% unemployment in that state. chris: is there a national positive for him on the auto front or is it just in a couple of states, wisconsin, obviously michigan, those kind of mi western industrial statse? >> coal being part of the state that's doing well. obviously that message will play better to romney there than to obama. but nevertheless, to back out for a second a look at the economy, generally speaking, you have states important swing states where the unemployment rate is lower than the national average. but the recent set of data we see a brightening of consumer attitudes. we see consumer sentiment and surprisingly at a fi
of four ompptitive states are in the storm's path... virginia, north carolina, ohio and new hampshire.president obama scrapped planssto hold thrre former preeident bill clinton...insteaa....he'll &ponly attend a morniig rally i florida... then head back to the d-c to monitor sandy. republican candiddte mitt caacellations could be on the way. the new york stock exchange is closed as aaresuut of building has to shut down newwyork city. tte asdaq has also announceddit will halt trading odayy sandy has also dimmed the lights on broadway.the leaaue of american theaters and producerssdecided yesterday to through toniggt... as neewyork braces forrthe hurriccne. officials allo ssid that they oo theater employees and pattons... since all public transportationnhas been shut down. 3 3 3 3 33 3 33 3 tracking the big storm. 3&phurricane sandy is bearinn ddwn on our area. areaamegan gilliland is live in fells point... where they're bracinggfor flooding... and joel d. smith is livv at the b-g-e staging
of all the real clear politics average in ohio being 2.3 percent in president obama's favor. as of this morning it is 1.9 percent. that is because the polls are closing. the latest poll was this morning in ohio by the ohio newspapers, showing the race is a dead heat. that is certainly what i feel. i feel like the momentum is on our side. i have been at six rallies the last week and at a dozen victory centers and the energy and enthusiasm is on our side this year. it is interesting to watch but we were down probably five or ten points before the debates and after the debates, well, we are dead even. >>chris: senator warner your state is in the path of huge storm, if you lose power could it affect early voting or an effect on election day? >>guest: well, chris, the governor has declared a state of emergency. i think we don't have an extensive as early voting in virginia as other states but i think in terms of how the president looks, it looks good. the "washington post" has a poll with the president above the magic 50 percent mark, 51-47 percent, and he had a great rally in ri
a dead even race in ohio. five points for obama. when they last tested here a number of weeks ago. shows momentum on romney side. the question is does he have momentum to push him perhaps 270. >> bret: quick answer of impact of the storm, hurricane sandy and what it means for the race? >> could it mean -- i think it's freezing the race. it's hard for either romney or obama to break through with new, with some new initiative while everybody is focused on sandy. i don't think it affects the turnout. >> bret: karl? >> it could effect turn-out. people affected by this; particularly, people unable to cope with it might be less likely to turn out. let's see when the storm hits. when it passes. if people can put themselves back together. the other thing is it will push the campaigning further west. we will see more appearances in iowa, colorado, nevada, wisconsin, western ohio than we would have seen otherwise in fewer appearances and florida. fewer appearances in places like virginia and pennsylvania. eastern ohio. >> bret: last thing, quickly. we had an ipad app that people can put in their m
with the state i guess most people think may decide the race, that is ohio. the obama camp says they have the big edge in early voting in your state and also note that they have 137 campaign offices around the country, and the romney camp has only 39. >> well, chris, first of all, you mentioned the real clear politics average in ohio, 2.3%, in the president's favor and now it is 1.9%, actually because the polls are closing, the latest poll, by the ohio newspapers, showing the race a dead heat. and that is certainly what i feel. i also feel like momentum is on our side. i have been at 6 rallies over the last week and at about a dozen centers around the state and energy and enthusiasm is on our side this year and it is interesting to watch. but, we were down 5 to 10 points before the debates and after the debates, we are about dead even and it is moving our way. >> chris: senator warner, your state of virginia is right in the path of that huge storm. if you lose power, and, you could lose it for days, could it have an effect on early voting, and even have an effect on election day? >> well, chris,
been canceled and even president obama isn't going to ohio tomorrow. he's going to let bill clinton, the former president campaign for him in youngstown, ohio instead. it looks like mitt romney is going to be hunkering down in ohio a state he needs to be better in. president obama is going to be stuck at the white house. and he went to florida tonight so he could be in place for a rally tomorrow. he may regret going there at all because he'll be coming back to the white house to monitor the storm, but it's going to be halting a lot of political activity going forward into wednesday. maybe even thursday, but right now the white house is looking at canceling even more events, potentially another event that the president was going to be having in wisconsin on tuesday night. so, it looks like we're coming to a stand still for a couple of days here. >> geraldo: so, you have both governor romney and president obama trying to balance the fact that the election is eight, nine days away, with the, first of all, the perception that they have to be paying attention, they have to be-- the pres
and wisconsin later today. meanwhile, president obama is in a holding pattern, kangs ling events in ohio and florida to return to washington and monitor the storm. the white house canceled the president's trip to wisconsin scheduled for tomorrow. but while voters won't see him on the trail they will see him in the role of commander in chief including later this hour when he delivers a statement on the hurricane from the white house. and perhaps voters will be wondering how a president romney might handle the very same situation. one indication comes from a primary debate in june of last year, when governor romney made the case for shutting down fema and passing the responsibility on to the states. >> fema is about to run out of money and some people say do it on a case-by-case basis and some who say maybe we're learning a lesson here the states should take on more of this role. >> absolutely. every time you have an occasion to take something from the federal government and send it back to the states, that's the right direction. and if you can go even further and send it back to the priva
in ohio. >> who will do more for the auto industry? not barack obama. fact checks confirm his attacks on mitt romney are false. the truth, mitt romney has a plan to help the auto industry. he is supporting by lee iacoca and the detroit news. obama sold chrysler to italians who are going to build jeeps? china. mitt romney will fight for every american job. >> romney: i'm mitt romney and i approve this message. >> bill: james what is the romney campaign's response to the fact checking? >> they haven't spoken publicly about it. they have kept it very low-key, i think they hoped that no one would really notice. there is unquestionably damage done to mitt romney because of his opposition to the auto bailout. the obama campaign is aggressively running ads around romney saying let detroit go bankrupt. >> bill: uh-huh. >> and romney knows he needs to deal with it. yesterday romney had three events, spoke about 25 minutes at each of them didn't say a word about the bailout or anything like that, and at each event any obama response was the auto bailout. and chrysler denie
and forth between ohio and wisconsin, which are the two most important states. if president obama can hold on to nevada, wisconsin and ohio, he still wins with 271 electoral votes. so with mitt romney out on the trail, that is in part a disadvantage for president obama, but it's too hard to say right now. >> hogan, governor romney is continuing that cam taken to go forward in states not impacted by hurricane sandy. it was really interesting, joe scarborough and his observations this morning he made on "morning joe." take a listen. >> this was mitt romney's best weekend, and it stops. the momentum stops. you don't know how it freezes, but it's a new dynamic into the race and changes everything with with a week to go. >> let's talk about this. not only could this stall romney's momentum, but it also brings up something that mitt romney was forceful about during the primary debates. he sad voe indicated shutting down team na and letting states handle disaster relief. watching what's taking place with sandy, know we have 12 different states that declared states of emergency and also the distri
been so important to obama running so well in ohio. it's a choice -- either government should just sit by and let the market do its thing or government can come in and correct certain outcomes and prevent catastrophe. that's the kind of choice we face in this election. >> if you want to talk about trust. what obama is talking about on the trail, first of all, there's no second-term agenda. when he goes off the record with the "des moines register" last week. he gave out a second-term agenda which is nothing like he's been talking about on the trail. >> that's not true at all. >> the corporate tax rates. talking about weeding out immigration. talking about immigration reform, which he has not talked about much in public and a grand bargain with cutting spending $2.50 for every $1 of tax revenue. >> did you see his proposal he's put on the table? >> you want to talk about being factually accurate. it's factually inaccurate it say that governor romney was against the rescue of the auto industry. if you read his entire op-ed. you guys are journalists, i assume you believe that words are im
, 137-39. this continues throughout the states. you see ohio, florida, colorado. obama's lead is massive. obama built the largest grassroots organization that politics saw in '08 and after he won he continued to build it. this can make a difference of two points and in a close race like this it can make all the difference in '08. it gave obama some already. that's not the situation in this case. people that have been to the ground offices say the obama offices are all about obamament the romney offices are rnc offices and not always all about romney. that leads a conservative like joe scarborough to worry about what's happening that the obama offices are building this unparalleled turnout machine and the great irony that scarborough writes for the romney camp is their candidate drirch by data and numbers his entire life is relying on the most unpredi unpredictable force of all, human emotion, to pull him over the top. i don't understand why romney and the gop have allowed this to happen? >> if it were just about having offices, obama would be in a clear lead in states like florida he's n
to head to new hampshire. the president to ohio tomorrow. president obama back in washington, actually touring fema today, making sure that federal preparations are in place and the federal resources are ready to go. but both men will be back on the trail and there's only a week left. >> ama: live from ocean city, maryland, thank you for that report. >>> we will stay on top of the latest storm developments. our superstorm sandy coverage continues on abc-7 at 6:00, and 11:00 p.m. and get updates at any time on abc7.com. >> in other news this evening, at least 1 people must find a new place to live for the time being after a fire drove them from their homes in san jose. the fire broke out around 7:30 this morning in a condominium complex on creek side drive. the flames moved quickly after the fire started in a building that houses several garages. >> the structure did catch on fire. the fire went from the garage into the attic space of the townhome, and also spread laterally, damaging more apartments. >> we are just banging on the doors and saying, get out! , get out! some of them took a
in ohio. president obama canceled events in virginia and colorado. he'll do one last rally in florida today before heading back to washington. on sunday the president met with fema, the federal emergency management agency overseeing the government's plans to help states and cities. >> anything they need, we will be there. we're going to cut through red tape. we're not going to get bogged down with a lot of rules. >> reporter: in florida the president told campaign workers turnout is the key. >> whoever is able to get their voters out, they're the one whose are going to win florida. >> reporter: that could be tough in states where sandy is headed. maryland already canceled early voting today. virginia, a battleground state could see power outages lasting until election day. >> several months ago we had the largest -- third largest power outage in history but we got everything pretty much back on in seven days. we're not expecting that this time. >> reporter: virginia is already planning to extend its hours for absentee voting. those absentee votes could be critical. it's believed that
're governor of ohio. michigan has had one of the biggest drops in unemployment. when obama took office, michigan was a mess because of the auto industry. they've had a huge drop of unemployment. even though they a little bit higher now than michigan. and i was struck that governor kasich suggested that everybody was for the auto rescue. no, they weren't. most republicans, with the exception by the way of president george w. bush who let it happen with actions he took, were against the auto rescue. so i don't understand, well i do understand, but people just don't want to take responsibility for where they stood on that issue. >> this was a question, carly about the auto bailout b. what role government direct government money would play in restructuring these companies. >> that's right. and who stands first in line to be repaid? is it the unions? or is it debtors and creditors? that was the fundamental question. and the truth is, it is disingenuous and factually inaccurate to say that republicans weren't for the rescue of the auto industry. the question was how. and what. and who would
some impact. not good for obama. romney what to cancel appearances in ohio, which were important to him. he did go to iowa, which indicates how close iowa really is. we'll talk about that a little bit, him getting in the "des moines register" endorsement, which is important i think. the other thing romney decided to do is do fund raising in the effected states which make sense. in the end, the president of the united states is commander-in-chief. he gets to take center stage. it only helps him. >> kimberly: dana? >> dana: from a political standpoint, romney's e-mail that went out to -- i'm not on the list but a friend sent it to me saying don't donate to our campaign, if you have time and resources available send it to the red cross. check on your neighbors. from a media standpoint, this storm is rightly going to stake center stage. my sister is in colorado. if you're in colorado, swing state or any of the other swing states, the ads are unbearable in terms of the amount of negative ads. i think both of the campaigns would be smart to take negative ads off the airwaves right now. my sis
that barack obama's plan to help the auto industry has paid off in jobs in ohio. believe me, i come from the industrial midwest. people remember who helped them save their jobs. now, look, there's something else we're not mentioning here that plays directly into the ohio race, and that's the senate race going on there. brown who is a wonderful senator and fantastic candidate who took votes all along the eastern border of ohio, well better than most democrats do, he's ahead. he's going to beat josh mendel in that senate race. i think you'll see reverse coattails and sherrod brown, who is a fantastic senate candidate, win. and that's going to help barack obama. people will see both names on the ballot rather, and they're going to strovote for both of t. it will help get president obama over the finish line in ohio. >> we'll be watching. thank you, gentlemen. >>> new details surrounding hurricane sandy. we heard that the holland tunnel and brooklyn battery tunnel will close in manhattan at 2:00 this afternoon. parts of lower manhattan are already taking on a little water. anne thompson is a
, columbus, ohio, we saw primarily obama ads on tv all the time. here in cincinnati it is the reverse. it is mostly romney ads. the tv ads that they run are taken from the debates, either debate number one or debate number three to make his final argument here, closing argument in ohio. as ohio goes so goes the nation. you will hear that time and again. it is a dead-heat as we stand here today in this critical swing state. both sides claim they have the edge. who's right? larry sabato is here with that important answer coming up next in ohio, martha. martha: interesting stuff. thank you so much, bill. and back here, hurricane sandy's wrath extending 800 miles along the east coast. the worst may be far from over, is far from over no doubt. we're live with the very latest on the storm's path after this. tlement or annuity over 10 or even 20 years? call imperial structured settlements. the experts at imperial can convert your long-term payout into a lump sum of cash today. a cup of johan is a 600 horsepower sports coupe that likes to hug curves. ♪ your curves. smooth, rich, never bitte
barack obama get a second term or does governor romney win ohio and win the white house? back in a moment. 18 electoral votes on the line here in the buckeye state. >> you know, ohio, you know me. you know i mean what i say you know that i do what i say i'm going to do. >> we need to make sure ohio is able to send a message loud and clear. we want real change. we want big change. we're ready. this is our time. i need your help. we're going to win on november 6th. or that printing in color had to cost a fortune. nobody said an all-in-one had to be bulky. or that you had to print from your desk. at least, nobody said it to us. introducing the business smart inkjet all-in-one series from brother. easy to use, it's the ultimate combination of speed, small size, and low-cost printing. why they have a raise your rate cd. tonight our guest, thomas sargent. nobel laureate in economics, and one of the most cited economists in the world. professor sargent, can you tell me what cd rates will be in two years? no. if he can't, no one can. that's why ally has a raise your rate cd. ally bank. your money
of ohio and michigan would look like today if mr. obama had not presided over the rescue of injury -- general motors. they depend on 850,000 jobs. they created the assembly and parts jobs in ohio. without it, chrysler and begin would have gone out of business and domestic industry supply chain would have collapsed taking ford with them. instead, u.s. auto makers are achieving huge gains in the fuel efficiency of their cars and trucks. who said that? >> mitt romney. >> stephanie: no. they go on to say the bailouts began under president george bush. mitt romney continued to oppose them. they're paying attention in ohio. they also say in the depths of the great recession no such investment was forthcoming. a high-powered businessman and the son of a detroit auto ceo who plays up his michigan roots might be expected to acknowledge that but no. [ applause ] alfranken will have to write an entire book about the romney campaign, the lies and liars to tell about this epic campaign. by the way here is a little shout out
. it's where they feel they have to pick off a couple states. it's not just ohio. it's ohio plus something else. >> as i talked to the romney campaign, they were emphasizing this momentum. they feel the debates gave him a second look to carry him through election day. obama folks, look at the electoral map map. we could be in for quite a finish if they are both right. >> they are both right. we talked the popular vote. polling out today, if you look at the president's lead for instance on the west coast in california, the lead has been cut in half. i have done back to the envelope map. romney makes up 6 million, 7 million, 8 million votes. he could pick up a bunch of votes in the non-battleground states. go to the battleground. i'll show how easy it is. if you take today's polls, the president is winning in virginia. wisconsin is on the ground. it leans toward the president. now you give him new hampshire and he sits at 270. that's giving romney ohio, florida and iowa and colorado. that's this issue of the battleground versus the popular. >> more to come from chuck todd. thank yo
in the battlegrounds and that effectively the race is frozen. now governor romney was out in ohio today, campaigning, making some arguments about the auto bailout which has been an issue that's helped president obama in the state of ohio. but the problem for mitt romney and anyone else participating in the campaign right now is all the coverage is drowning out anything that politicians say. we are locked in a very tight race. we had two new polls out this morning, tracking polls. one, the washington post/abc news poll showed mitt romney 49%-brah 49%-barack obama 48%. another poll shows pro seciselye opposite. obama 48%. but they're the same poll. with a margin of error, we have essentially a tie race but the obama team believes that their advantage is in the battleground states like iowa, states like nevada, states like ohio that mitt romney needs and we'll see whether they are right. but as of now, it appears unlikely that things are going to move very much over the next couple of days because romney's canceled campaign events tomorrow, so has the president. >> when we talk about the sort of being
'm sorry, new hampshire tomorrow. today, romney is campaigning in ohio, iowa and wisconsin, both romney and obama campaigns say they will suspended their fundraising e-mails to voters on the east coast out of consideration for the storm's impact. >>> hurricane sandy, its impact already being felt on the u.s. financial markets. there will be no trading on the floors of the new york stock exchange or the nasdaq today no. electronic trading on those markets, either. they could remain closed tomorrow as well but that decision will be made later today. >>> people who live in treasure island can stop boiling their drinking water now. the tests show the water is now safe to drink. the san francisco public utilities commission says residents should flush their appliances and pipes first. that's after the water main broke on friday night. >>> back to the world series coverage. as we mentioned earlier, giants 3rd baseman pablo sandoval was named world series mvp. the man nick named the panda hit .500 during the world series and in that big game 1 he hit three home runs. . >> had a great series. >
to several million people could lose power by midnight. president obama had to campaign the stops in florida and ohio to deal with the emergency. he spoke after a briefing in the white house situation room. transportation room is tied up for a long time. friday, the significant impact for a lot of people in addition to flooding will be getting power back up. we anticipate there are a lot of trees down, a lot of water. >> by the shore especially. and the record levels in the eastern shores, delaware and new jersey. president obama is campaign -- canceling the campaign spot tomorrow. the storm is hitting its peak right now in washington. live this afternoon, scott mcfarland, ktvu news. >> we'll be following hurricane sandy throughout the day on ktvu. more on the website and full coverage tonight starting on our 5:00 news. >>> a hearing is continuing for two teenagers while burglarizing their home earlier this month. 18-year-old cody nakozia and christy birdsal are charged with murder and special circumstance of murder during robbery. prosecutors say october 17th, they went to the home of barba
hurts a candidate. he is going to ohio. so is president obama. in terms of the eastern coast, north carolina really is going to go romney. i don't think it will be affected but the only real state is virginia. that one will be affected by the lack of presidential visits during this three-day or four- day period. >> with both candidates having to throw out the fourth quarter game book and faulkous the storm, such a tight race, can they afford to do that? >> they have to make adaptations. the president will try to look presidential, act presidential, show that he cares. the romney campaign has said they will send their volunteers out to help with relief efforts. they've suspended fundraising e- mails so everybody wants to get in the spirit of helping every american during this mini crisis. >> you hate to politicize something like this but does any candidate have the up are hand in this type after situation? >> i really don't think so. the only thing i read that kind of means something, if this had been closer to election day, al gore supposedly would have won florida if the weather wa
. >> president obama is canceling his appearance at a campaign event in ohio with former president bill clinton. he also canceled an event in virginia. >> michelle obama got out of washington a day early and spent the night here in chicago. she will fly to iowa for a couple campaign appearances and then get back to chicago where she will wait out the storm. she has canceled an appearance tomorrow in new hampshire. >> mitt romney cancelled events in virginia and new hampshire and is moving his campaign and land. inland. both campaigners are urging supporters to donate to storm charities. >> hms bounty was in distress about 90 mi. southeast of north carolina. the captain gave the order to abandon ship at a coast and the coast guard helicopter was sent to rescue crew members from lifeboats. two members of the cruel are still missing. this is a photo of the hms bounty known for the mutiny that took place. it was the start of the movie mutiny on the bounty starring marlon brando. >> the victim has been identified as 68 year-olda 68 year-old retired bus driver. his neighbors said he was a great g
. president obama also cancelling plans to visit ohio and is instead focusing on the storm. he says he's working with the governors and the states at risk the greatest risk of hurricane sandy. he is vowing to eliminate red tape for assistance there. >> my message to the governors as well as the mayors is anything they need we will be there. we are going to cut through red tape. they a we are not going to bog down with a lot of rules. >> the president will hold a rally in orlando before heading back to the white house. mitt romney's campaign has stopped sending fundraising e-mails in several states in sandy's path including new jersey, north carolina virginia, washington, d.c. a whole lot of areas affected by this storm. romney is urging supporters to keep millions at risk in their prayers. >> i know right now some people are nervous about a storm about to hit the coast. our thoughts and prayers are with the people who find themselves in harm's way. >>> the romney campaign will use the campaign to help with relief efforts across the east coast and collect supplies to the storm victims
know it was president obama that saved our industry. that's so important to ohio, and that's why the romney campaign is running this misleading and unfortunate ad. it says something about his campaign. if he doesn't take this ad down, i think it will say something about his character and his honesty. >> it's interesting you point out that on the campaign trail thursday night in ohio in auburn hills, mitt romney said that jeep planned to shift all of its output from the united states to china including vehicles built for u.s. consumers. chrysler to your point released a statement, quote, flatly denying it has any plans to move jeep output to china from the united states. that portion of his comments not in the new ad, but nevertheless the new ad still misleading there. but the polls have tightened at least according to one from the state. it shows the race -- i think we have those numbers neck in neck at this point. why is it still so close at this point in your state? >> well, i think you're referring to the ohio poll. >> absolutely. we have it up. it's 49/49 there. >> yes. the o
of break away for president obama tonight is a lead of four in ohio. you can't go to the bank with a leader for. that is one of the bitterly is that we have. otherwise one or two points in virginia. gerri: let me give you a couple of points here. ohio, romney has in its 50-48. florida, romney 50, obama 49. north carolina -- neck and neck. so ultimately it seems to me this bill could go either way. and we will be watching. with this vote, decided on the basis of a single news story? could it be something that breaks over the weekend? something that carries the momentum? >> anything that moves a couple of hundred or a couple of thousand votes in any one of these battle ground states can determine the election. absolutely. my fear, and this is not as a pollster, but an american is that instead of one court case that we had in florida in 2000, we can have multiple court cases. this is just so close. gerri: i hope that is not the case. we have to go. thank you for being with us. we'll be right back. >> thank you. [ male announcer ] at scottrade, you won't just find us online, you'll also find us
obama up in ohio still. >> yeah, i think obama does have a slight lead in ohio. >> even though the cincinnati inquirer poll just had it tied. >> i understand that. >> it's not rasmussen. which polls do we believe now? >> i understand that. do you want me to -- should we keep going on this or shy deal with andrew's question about the ground game? >> no, we better talk sandy i think. >> okay. sandy effect on the vote is entirely speculative. there are a lot of people yakking about it, but mostly making stuff up. i'll go to a couple things. first of all, obama is believed to have a somewhat more extensive ground game, he has more people on the ground. so in theory, he has more to disrupt. the president's schedule has him doing more events that will have to be canceled than romney. on the other hand, because romney is down a field goal and needs something to happen, the idea that sandy could flereeze things in place for a few days is not necessarily good for him because he had momentum after the first debate. the momentum seems to have died out. it's left him in a very competitive
-- >> reporter: that effort is well advised because the obama campaign has 131 field offices in ohio. compared to only 39 for romney and they're leading a robust get out the vote effort. >> come on ride the bus with us. cast your vote today. >> reporter: now, ohio's 18 electoral votes may well pave the way to the white house, but because this race is so tight, few here believe they'll know who won them on election night. >> dean, if it's so important and if in fact the ground games are so important, what's the difference in the two ground games? >> reporter: well, charlie, it's not a scientific observation but what i see is that the obama campaign is far more interested in the early voting. and the romney campaign is still in the persuading phase of this election. they're going door to door trying to get people out to early vote, but really trying to persuade them to vote either early or on election day. >> all right, thank you, dean reynolds. >>> hurricane irene cost more than $4 billion in losses when it ripped through the east coast and economists believe hurricane s
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